Telengana lo TRS gelupu - Dinivalla labham evariki.

Politics is not a simple game, where winning matters. It matters in the short run, but sometimes winning is much bigger issue than loosing. You are winner, but for the important cause.

If we closely observe the political parties and their role, its very difficult to understand the wins and losses. Even after winning battle, you loose everything associated with the it. I believe this is the status of current Andhra Politics. Before discussing the majority with which TRS won the elections, lets closely observe the consequences of election results.

We should all agree that politicians and business men always look for one thing, PROFIT. When a simpleton, who is neither Bureaucrat nor a total politician, Mr. Manmohan Singh, as finance minister, presenting the budget of India, raised his Right hand twice during budget speech, to make sure that people understand the fact that Congress Government is doing good to nation for future advantage to Congress, no Politician in the country could be left behind.

PROFIT or Labham

Soniya's point of view

Soniya, eventhough aware that she is getting misguided by the local PCC, was open to take chances. She took a major chance, when the regional PCC wanted to contest elections. She wanted to win a couple of seats atleast, to prove that Congress has some hold in the state. Unfortunately the results turned out to be different.

Will she give a go-ahead for division of AP now? This should be a big question, and the answer would be a big NO. If she does go ahead, she has bigger problems ahead of her.

1. The advantage of the seperate Telengana would directly go to TRS, or KCR and congress will not have any advantage in future. It would be left with the Governor post, like Mountbatten, after the Indian Independence.
2. Soniya's dream of making Rahul Gandhi or Roberto the future PM of India, will remain as dream. She will loose a major chunk of the 19 parliament seats in Telengana.
3. The moment, Soniya declares Telengana, Jagan will comeout in open with a demand for Samaykyandhra and will continue on YSR's path.
4. If Jagan splits congress and starts his own party, along with Lagadapati Rajgopal, then congress can easily forget the 23 remaining seats, as those will be shared between TDP and YSR Congress.
5. Soniya is aware that she cannot go to mid term elections without the support of either Jagan or Chiranjeevi. Chiranjeevi, if Jagan splits before she takes decision. the option, that she would contest elections in telengana with support of TRS are dead with the current results.
6. If she takes support from either chiranjeevi or Jagan, due to their Samaykyandhra stand, she would loose further in Telengana.

Soniya, or Congress has a major disadvantage.

Jagan's point of view

Jagan was under the impression that he can successfully split the congress or keep pushing adhistanam, with his popularity for CM post for Andhra Pradesh. Unfortunately with these results, that would have to be dream for a long time.

1. Jagan is a known supporter of Samaykyandhra. If Soniya makes him CM, then she is indirectly giving a strong signal to Telengana region, that she is not in favour of Telengana. So he can never become CM of the Andhra Pradesh from Congress.
2. If soniya doesnot make him CM, then Jagan will continue doing what he is currently doing.
3. With the thumping majority of TRS in telengana, Jagan should be aware that if he splits the congress and goes ahead with his plans for fresh elections, he does not stand a chance in Telengana with 119 seats. It would be impossible to get 147 seats of the remaining 175 assembly constituencies.

We should agree on one thing that YSR stopped the process of AP formation, by being in power and Jagan will do the same by not being in Power.

CBN's Point of View

Not sure why, but he constantly follows the political theory of PV Narasimha Rao, "wait to make decision". His decision to support telengana came at a fag end, when no one was really interested. His decision, that andhra and telengana are 2 eyes was never talked about seriously and he is now more or less becoming "AATA lo aratiPANDU". He cannot anticipate anything and he wants nothing to happen right now. If given a chance, he would go on a world tour and forget politics completely. If AP is headed for elections,

1. He doesnot have a say as to why he is contesting, like he did in recent by-elections.
2. He cannot continue his drama of 2 eyes anymore.
3. His party or cadre is not ready for another round of elections.
4. His image is totally destroyed, thanks to the strategies of YSR and his 2000 Rupees scheme
5. He damaged himself on the "believability" factor.

If elections were to happen now, I dont think he has enough energy or power to go for a fressh round of campaign. His only belief would be VOTES SPLIT, due to jagan factor. Like it was in the last elections.

If we look at the above scenarios, Going for a fresh elections is bad for all the parties and splitting of Andhra pradesh will cause a major dent to the dreams of Soniyaji, the Telengana issue will be going ON. KCR along with his sister Firebrand Vijayashanti will also go ON and ON.

The only demand would be for the dead bodies. the younger the BETTER. Odarpu yatralu eka agavu.

Maa kishore das evadi gola vadidhe lo cheppinattu, chempa ku chempa.